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Growth
Investing Online Philosophy
What
is growth investing?
Growth
investors seek the stocks of companies that generate consistent increases
in sales revenue and net income from one year to the next.
The rate of sales and earnings growth among these stocks is
generally greater than the majority of their peers. These types of stocks
usually offer little or no dividend payment to investors since most of the
earnings is retained and reinvested for future growth.
Growth
stocks typically have a high PE ratio because investors are willing to pay
a premium for consistent and growing earnings.
The key is to invest in
companies where the price paid for growth is less than the value of that
growth.
Dell
Computer is prime example of a growth stock. Its earnings have grown more
than 40% per year for much of the 1990s. Its stock price has also posted
dramatic gains throughout this time period.
The
overall evidence is that growth stocks lag value stocks over long periods,
if PE ratios or PBV ratios are used as proxies for growth and value.
Growth
Stocks
-
Typically
High PE ratio
-
Typically
High PBV ratio
Value
Stocks
-
Typically
Low PE ratio
-
Typically
Low PBV ratio
However,
there have been extended time periods where growth investing has
outperformed value investing.
Growth
investing seems to do much better when the overall growth rate of the
market is good. For example, active growth investors seem to beat growth
indices more often than value investors beat value indices.
Small
Cap Investing
Studies
have consistently found that smaller firms (in terms of market value of
equity) earn higher returns than larger firms of equivalent risk, where
risk is defined in terms of the market beta.
There
may be additional risk in investing in small cap stocks because far less
information is available on these stocks. Analysts follow fewer small
companies.
Dimson
and Marsh examined stocks in the United Kingdom from 1955 to 1984 and
found that the annual returns on small stocks exceeded that on large
stocks by 7% annually over the period.
Bergstrom,
Frashure and Chisholm report a large size effect for French stocks (Small
stocks made 32.3% per year between 1975 to 1989, while large stocks made
23.5% a year), and a much smaller size effect in Germany.
Hamao
reports a small firm premium of 5.1% for Japanese stocks between 1971 and
1988.
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